Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.180682 0.196946 0.214219 0.233968 0.255964 0.279762 0.307522
2026-02-08 0.149228 0.171624 0.197011 0.228077 0.265276 0.308655 0.363452
2026-02-15 0.129957 0.155241 0.185266 0.223875 0.272669 0.332911 0.413895
2026-02-22 0.119489 0.147201 0.181385 0.227189 0.287776 0.366343 0.477888
2026-03-01 0.109457 0.138258 0.174910 0.225726 0.295566 0.390005 0.530592
2026-03-08 0.100640 0.129853 0.168029 0.222543 0.300015 0.408732 0.577621
2026-03-15 0.092421 0.121438 0.160236 0.217077 0.300261 0.420903 0.615646
2026-03-22 0.089183 0.119421 0.160828 0.223149 0.317247 0.458637 0.696623
2026-03-29 0.085765 0.116822 0.160282 0.227328 0.331526 0.493361 0.776777
2026-04-05 0.081628 0.112865 0.157417 0.227672 0.339715 0.519024 0.844662
2026-04-12 0.076013 0.106383 0.150374 0.221001 0.336061 0.524839 0.878314
2026-04-19 0.070833 0.100228 0.143409 0.213878 0.330952 0.527516 0.906244
2026-04-26 0.066651 0.095433 0.138361 0.209676 0.330723 0.539198 0.953888
2026-05-03 0.062538 0.090531 0.132878 0.204410 0.328300 0.546895 0.995220
2026-05-10 0.059141 0.086536 0.128557 0.200712 0.328213 0.558680 1.046188
2026-05-17 0.057462 0.085114 0.128206 0.203613 0.339986 0.593548 1.149858
2026-05-24 0.055045 0.082380 0.125555 0.202331 0.343975 0.613854 1.225199
2026-05-31 0.052514 0.079327 0.122192 0.199542 0.344866 0.628055 1.288908
2026-06-07 0.049788 0.075819 0.117878 0.194751 0.341511 0.633262 1.332459
2026-06-14 0.049121 0.075648 0.119142 0.200073 0.358103 0.681262 1.485828
2026-06-21 0.048189 0.074980 0.119504 0.203734 0.371695 0.724409 1.634991
2026-06-28 0.046741 0.073367 0.118134 0.204035 0.378468 0.753357 1.752650
2026-07-05 0.044382 0.070098 0.113690 0.198191 0.372025 0.751916 1.788375